Church of Schwartz

Before I begin, my apologizes for being absent from the site for a while. I recently graduated and moved back home and now trying to find a job. Anyway, let’s begin:

As I predicted in an earlier edition of “The Lions Congregation”, George Foster was cut before the season started. As usual, I am the only voice of reason when it comes to the Lions. If you want to know what’s going to happen, listen to me and not these other “Lions experts” who claim Foster had turned over  a new leaf and blah blah blah….

Now, that leads me to this. The other reason I have refused to write is the hideousness that was the NFL draft. Martin Mayhew has officially undone all the good he did and also ruined his reputation as a GM in the league. This draft is and will go down as the worst draft in Lions history. People will forget about Matt Millen because this draft was beyond horrible. Here’s why:

The Lions defense was the second worst D in NFL history last year. Going into this years draft, they had 2 legit starters on the DL, 0 legit starters at CB, 2 legit LB’s and 0 safeties. A complete and utter joke. So what do they do??? Go out and draft Stafford at #1. HORRIBLE PICK, but one I won’t fault the organization for because I think most teams would have done it. What I don’t understand is the #20 pick of Brandon Pettigrew. Here’s why:

The best TE in NFL history, Tony Gonzalez, was just traded to KC for a second round pick. THE BEST TE IN NFL HISTORY FOR A SECOND ROUND PICK?!? (Look at his stats, he’s not old and his stats have not declined in the past 5 years, check it out)  That means, in order for this to be a decent pick, he would have to be the best TE to ever play the game. With all the defensive players available, and all the holes the Lions have on the defensive side of the ball, HOW IN THE HELL CAN YOU DRAFT A TE!!!

A Tight End who has never been a threat in the passing game through out his college career!!? I’m sorry, but you hear everyone talk about how great of a receiver he is but I’ve watched 12 of his college games since the draft and I’ve seen him drop 8 balls and not get open!! Great, he can block, but what the hell is the point of having a blocking TE when your defense is going to allow a MINIMUM of 30 points a game?!

Then the Lions go out and literally draft not a single person who will make this team in rounds 4-7 with the exception of maybe Hill at DT. Schwartz went into the draft saying “We will draft the best player available.” Well sure, you may have done that with your first 3 picks but what the hell happened after that?!?

I’m sorry if this sounds harsh, but me and the good Rev. Spielman have debated this over and over and he is still wrong. There’s no possible legit argument to say Brandon was a good pick. He’s simply the wrong pick at this spot when you have so many holes on D!!

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, what’s the point of putting up 25 points a game when you’re D will allow OVER 30 a game?! DID NO ONE WATCH A FREAKIN” GAME LAST YEAR!!? 5, count ‘em, 5 TIMES the Lions were in a position to win and they didn’t because the D allowed a scoring drive in the last 4 minutes.

I’ll do another article later this week explaining why there is no reason for optimism with the Lions defense. But again, am I the ONLY voice of reason in all of Lions nation!?? Let me end this with a little story of draft day for me.

I attended the Lions Draft Day Party at Ford Field. Once the draft hit pick number 15, the stands begin to fill up. By pick 17, there were probably over 15,000 people there. Once the Lions pick came up and Rey Maualuga and Peria Jerry were still on the board there were chants running through the building. “Rey or J, Rey or J.” Sarcastically I yelled out, “Watch them take the TE” and I was laughed at by people. When the pick was made I couldn’t believe the reaction.

I saw grown men in business suits with their young children dropping F bombs and swearing like a sailor, I saw a man who bought a Statford jersey take it off and literally cut it up, I saw a people take all the free Lions stuff we were given pepper the field with water bottles, footballs and Lions hats, I saw five people get arrested and I, the good Deacon, got in a heated argument with a Ford Field employee because they had boxes of Lion paw key chains and they said “Sorry, only for the kids.” After a couple minutes of name calling I eventually said, “Sir, after what the Lions just pulled, you should be giving these away in hopes we come back.” I got a huge ovation for that.

This week’s edition is all about the draft obviously. I kept the questions simple. The answers however are well thought out and wide ranging. Enjoy!

1. What was the Lions worst pick in the draft?

Dave, Birk’s Eye View: Derrick Williams. Not that Williams is a bad player, but the Lions could have gotten another returner later (and did, in the sixth round). I think they would have been better served addressing their interior lines on either side of the ball. Georgia DT Corvey Irvin, Clemson DT Dorrell Scott and Eastern Michigan OL T.J. Lang were among those who came off the board shortly after Williams.

Steve, Detroit Lions Weblog: In my view, with the Lions decision to trade pick #65, bypassing several tantalizing players on the offensive and defensive lines, along with their glaring need at middle linebacker, the team compounded that gaffe by making three very suspect day two picks:

rd 3, pick #76 DeAndre Levy-an undersized outside linebacker who they have decided to shift the middle. Some experts criticized the Lions for considering doing the very same thing with Aaron Curry, so taking a lesser player and doing the same thing (shifting him to the middle) makes more sense?

rd 3, pick #83 Derrick Williams-I actually like Williams as a player, but after bypassing need earlier in the first three rounds, there had to be a (any?) desirable offensive or defensive lineman that could/should have been had here.

*(the winner is…)rd 6, pick #192 Aaron Brown-this is the one that was the most quintessentially “Lions” draft choice of the day. After addressing their return needs with Philip Buchanon and Maurice Morris during the off-season, adding Derrick Williams in the draft, and with the likelihood that the improbable return of Aveion Cason to the roster will undoubtedly eventually occur, why pick a running back here? Or anywhere in the draft, for that matter?

Phil, MLive: Aaron Brown. I’m just not certain that what he brings to the table is valuable enough to the Lions. Yes, Schwartz is right when he says the team is bereft of talent, and can’t focus strictly on needs. But there’s a certain risk-reward dynamic at play. And you have to consider needs, at some point. (For example, if Josh Freeman had slipped to 33, would the Lions have taken him? I don’t imagine so.) So it’s hard to see how you don’t take a shot at whomever is the most highly rated O-Lineman on your board.

Ty, The Lions in Winter: You’re going to get a lot of DeAndre Levy on this question, but I’m actually going to say Aaron Brown, the running back from TCU. Most of the stuff I’ve read on him says that due to injury and character concerns, he probably could have been had much later, maybe even as a free agent. While KR is an obvious and painful need, this draft was thick with cornerbacks who had return experience, and I would had much rather seen a corner with similar ability. I was actually hoping for a trade up to snag VT CB Victor “Macho” Harris at the bottom of the fifth–though I think the Lions got amazing value by moving back from the 6.1 to the 7th and getting a 2010 fifth in return.

Josh, Detroit Lions Fan 1979: This one is tough for me, mainly because I liked the draft from top to bottom because they chose talent. I am also quite happy with the quantity, quality, and type of UDFA’s they brought in both those they signed and the tryouts. Since I have to choose one, I’ll say Lyndon Murtha in the 7th. He is a very long-shot to beat out George Foster as the backup swing tackle, but at least they get first crack at him for the practice squad. I would have preferred to see them take a flier on an additional S or LB here. (Otis Wiley, the S I wanted them to pick here, actually went undrafted, and they have now signed him as an UDFA, along with Holtzclaw, the LB I wanted. Guess it’s hard to complain when they still got the other two guys anyways… I tried gentlemen. I tried.)

Reverend Spielman, CofS: There were a few bad, bad picks but one stands above all: Aaron Brown in the 6th round. If we hadn’t drafted Derrick Williams earlier, I wouldn’t be as harsh on the pick. But two kick returners in the same draft? I know we have a need there but we also have 1.5 million other needs. This pick brought out the “Millen side” of Mayhew, something I hadn’t really seen yet.

2. What was the Lions best pick?

Dave, Birk’s Eye View: Matt Stafford. In the end, I think they were right to take the QB No. 1 and build around him. Stafford might not play much to start, but he’s got the skill set to fit what the Lions want to do and if they bring him along properly he’s got a great chance to succeed.

Steve, Detroit Lions Weblog: Sammie Lee Hill, even if he is a raw project. If he can rise to the competition, and possesses any more motivation than “Big Baby” Rogers ever did, there is a legitimate chance for Hill to be the steal of the draft with his size, athleticism, and playmaking ability all combined. Or he could be the next defensive tackle analog to ex-Lions defensive end Kalimba “The Ghost” Edwards, or worse, likely soon-to-be-ex-Lions defensive end Ikaika “Kalimba 2.0″ Alama-Francis.

Phil, MLive: Brandon Pettigrew, for a couple of reasons. One, it takes a lot of guts to pick a tight end with your second first-round pick when your defense allowed the second-most points in the history of the NFL. Two, because it was a smart pick. Sure, some will argue that it’s a luxury position. But it’s hard for a Lions fan to really comprehend how important a tight end can be to the offense. After all, Detroit hasn’t seen a complete tight end since Charlie Sanders. Dan Campbell showed promise, but could never stay healthy. Pettigrew is the complete package. He’s a 6-5, 265 pound beast that can take on linebackers or defensive ends, yet still split the middle of the secondary or give the quarterback a safety valve with shorter routes. This is a pick that should have the Lions set at TE for at least 10 years, a la Kansas City with Tony Gonzalez.

Ty, The Lions in Winter: I’m going to say Brandon Pettigrew. Throughout my looks at the draft, I’ve thought he was the Best Player I Wish We’d Be Able To Get Except We Have Bigger Needs. Instead, he’ll immediately transform tight end from a position staffed entirely by scrubs during the entire Millen era, to a position of three-down strength. As we saw with Drew Bledsoe and Ben Coates, with Mike Vick and Alge Crumpler, with Brett Favre and Mark Chmura, and arguably Tony Romo and Jason Witten, there’s no better safety blanket for a young quarterback than a big, soft pair of hands attached to a 6′-4″+, 260-pound-plus body. Pettigrew will be a huge help in the running game, sealing off the outside, and blowing up people at the second level. Then, what has the Lions’ biggest weakness on offense been? Converting on third downs. What is this guy going to do? Catch the ball on third down. Great pick.

Josh, Detroit Lions Fan 1979: All of them. NetRat did a great piece, which I also added to on my blog, about the strategy the Lions used this year while drafting — and they did not deviate from their plan. If you read that, my answer will make more sense (also read TheNetRat’s follow-up piece). My favorite pick was Pettigrew. Why? Three reasons:

#1. It let me know the Lions were going to take the best player available at a position of need no matter what (and really — who can name a TE in the last 15 years worth anything on the Lions?)

#2. It let me know they were not going to “reach” for need/name players as Millen was prone to do on draft day, ignoring all the time and effort put into the board.

#3. He will add dimensions helping out the O-line, helping Smith in the run game, and helping in short yardage, 3rd down conversions, and the red zone as a real threat underneath. No more will a team be able to say “run” or “pass” based on which TE is in the game for the Lions. It also fills the starting TE position for the foreseeable future, eliminating that as a need when drafting next year.

I was so excited at this pick, that I actually pulled into a Dunhams (my wife an I were heading elsewhere, and it was right there) to look for the Lions’ new logo gear. Sadly, all they had was “throwback” bubbles 40% off. So I picked up the only shirt in my size and called it good.

Only time will tell if my boundless optimism is warranted, but no sense raining on my parade yet, right? And no, I don’t think they make the playoffs in 2009. I said I was optimistic, not insane.

Reverend Spielman, CofS: This one is a runaway for me: Brandon Pettigrew! What an outstanding college player this guy was and when he was still available at 20, I thought the Lions would be crazy to pass him up. This guy is one of the 5 most talented guys in the draft and yet because he plays a position which isn’t considered premium, he wasn’t even a consideration. TE is becoming an increasingly important position and I’d be willing to bet that most of the QBs in this league would rather have an All-Pro TE to throw to than an All-Pro WR.  Brandon Pettigrew is an All-Pro TE waiting to happen.

3. Which of the 2nd day picks will have the greatest impact on the team next season?

Dave, Birk’s Eye View: DeAndre Levy. He’s got to win the starting middle linebacker job, but there’s not much competition there now. I’m not sure the Lions won’t be moving him outside in a few years, but for 2009 he’ll be the best.

Steve, Detroit Lions Weblog:Definitely, Sammie Lee Hill, he could potentially start, or at the very least spell Grady “Buffet Buster” Jackson. Even with his relative lack of big time experience, Hill should possess abilities that supersede his “rawness” as a small college player, in the long run.

DeAndre Levy will likely join Jordan Dizon as a special teams ace. Derrick Williams will get to field some kick-off returns and could get worked into a few pass packages,too. Perhaps, the Lions will use Williams in their own variation of the much-vaunted “wildcat” formation or maybe mix in some reverses, trick plays, etc. Aaron Brown and the three 7th-rounders all strike me as practice squad projects at best, that could eventually pan out, or just disappear to the margins of the near-infinite NFL 53-man roster ether, never to be heard or seen again.

Phil, MLive: Derrick Williams. I doubt he’ll have any real effect at wide receiver (if he does, the Lions REALLY scored). But Williams should give the Lions special teams its first viable return threat in about three years. It’s easier to have an impact as a quality returner than, say, backup offensive tackle or linebacker. Because Detroit didn’t really have anyone back there, Williams doesn’t have to be the next Devin Hester. He simply has to do enough to stand out in opponents’ minds as a threat.

Ty, The Lions in Winter: I’m not done scouting each of these picks, but I just posted my breakdown of Cal LB Zack Follett, and I have to say he has all the earmarks of a an impact playmaker. He might be only rotational/situational as a linebacker in ‘09, but he’s going to be an absolute MANIAC on special teams. I predict he’ll steal the hearts of Lions fans at the open practices, and take the crown away from Buster Davis as “The Starting MLB, If There Was Any Justice in the World”.

Josh, Detroit Lions Fan 1979: This is a tough call for me. I would have initially said Levy, as I think he will work out at MLB but if the Lions secure Foote, he will be learning and rotating in for a couple of years, making a lesser impact immediately. I would have to say at this point Williams, based on my belief that he will make a solid impact on the return game. For 2010, I will say Sammie Hill — He has loads of natural talent, and form all accounts wants coaching and is hungry to step up his game into a true pro- not coast by on natural talent. My gut says he blooms quickly and explosively — enough to make us fans forget a certain attitude-wielding big guy that wears Brown now… Imagine a motivated big-man in the middle crushing the run — leaving the LB free to seek, and destroy.

Reverend Spielman, CofS: Long term, I’d be inclined to say Hill. But going from Stillman College to the NFL doesn’t happen overnight and he’ll have a lot of learning to do this season. So for next season I’m saying Derrick Williams. With the legendary Brandon Middleton and Avieon Cason on kickoff returns the past few years, we were lucky to have starting field position outside our own 25. Williams isn’t going to be Devin Hester/Dante Hall but he’ll at least get us 5-10 yards further down the field on a consistent basis. Football is a game of inches and when you add up all those extra yards, they’re going to make the difference between winning and losing in some games.

1.1 Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia

Analysis: To be fair to the Lions brass, they were hamstrung with this pick in possibly the least desirable year ever to have the 1st overall pick. No matter what they did, it would be judged harshly. The fact of the matter is I simply don’t like Matthew Stafford much as a football player. In big moments, I never noticed him like I should’ve at Georgia. With a QB, you can put up the most beautiful stats in the world (see: Shitna, Jon) but its how you perform in the clutch that will define your legacy. This pick is too risky and too expensive to be taking a chance on. I would’ve loved to see Aaron Curry in the middle of our defense for the next 15 years. But now that Stafford’s a Lion, I’ll support him and hope that my gut instinct is wrong on this one.

Grade: C

1.20 Brandon Pettigrew, TE, OK State

Analysis: Absolutely outstanding pick! Maybe the steal of the draft. He’s the best TE to come out of college since Antonio Gates. Already a very polished blocker, he’s got a ton of upside in the passing game also. Matthew Stafford must be praising the high heavens for this selection, as Pettigrew will be a more than adequate handcuff and safety valve in the passing game. Kevin Smith just became a lock for 1000 yards also with Pettigrew regularly mauling LBs at the 2nd level.

Grade: A+

2.1 Louis Delmas, S, Western Michigan

Analysis: At first glance, I absolutely hated this pick with Rey Maualuga and James Laurinaitis still on the board. But the more I’ve thought about it and researched this guy, the more I’m liking it. Safety is becoming an increasingly important position in the NFL these days and teams with dominating safeties tend to be winning teams. Delmas was the consensus #1 safety in this draft. He’ll start opposite Daniel Bullocks and give the Lions a pair of young, effective safeties. I don’t know whether Gerald Alexander will ever be effective again after his devastating injury.

Grade: B

3.12 DeAndre Levy, LB, Wisconsin

Analysis: I really question this pick. It’s obvious to me that they’ll want to switch Levy to middle LB. The scouting reports on him say that he has trouble shedding blocks and has marginal instincts. Those are possibly the two most important attributes of a middle backer! He does have a great motor and exceptional speed but I don’t see how that translates to being a middle backer. I would’ve rather seen a legit MLB like Scott McKillop or Jason Phillips be selected with this pick.

Grade: F

3.18 Derrick Williams, WR, Penn State

Analysis: I have a huge issue with this pick. Sure, Williams was one of the most hyped recruits coming out of high school in 2004 but his production has been sorely lacking during his college years. I’d assume he’ll be competing with Ronald Curry for the slot receiver role, as well as being the lead kick returner. I think this is a massive reach when there are several guys left who can fill the same needs later in the draft. An OG or OT would’ve been an excellent selection here, as would a DE. I fear that the Lions are looking for a Dante Hall/Devin Hester-like impact and they’re going to get a Bobby Engram type (solid but not a difference maker).

Grade: D

4.15 Sammie Lee Hill, DT, Stillman

Analysis: This is a pick that I was disgusted at, but as I read up on him, I’ve totally changed my opinion. This guy seems like outstanding value for a 4th rounder. Hill is an enormous man who fits perfectly with the Schwartzingham strategy of “Bigger is Better”. He’s explosive for his size and was very productive against inferior competition. I think he’s going to play a lot as a rookie in the defensive tackle rotation and may even start instead of Chuck Darby.

Grade: B

6.19 Aaron Brown, RB, TCU

Analysis: Dreadful pick. I don’t think this guy has a chance in hell to make the team over a guy like Mo Morris. Another return prospect who wasn’t overly productive at TCU, not exactly a hotbed of football. I really question how this could be the best player on the Lions draft board and RB is the rare position where we are solidly positioned.

Grade: F

7.19 Lydon Murtha, OT, Nebraska

Analysis: A pretty good value pick for this late in the draft. This guy was a combine star, dominating all offensive linemen in forty, 3 cone drill and 20 yard shuttle. His production at Nebraska was subpar at times and brilliant at other times. He’s a better bet to make the team than the guy drafted above him and I think he might even see a little action as a backup.

Grade: B

7.26 Zach Follett, OLB, Cal

Analysis: Another good quality value pick in the last round. This kid plays hard every single play and has special teams written all over him. In a best case scenario, I see this guy becoming a game changing special teams captain and fan favorite. I don’t see any way he plays for the defense, except in desperation situations. Still, a pretty good bet to make the team.

Grade: C

7.46 Dan Gronkowski, TE, Maryland

Analysis: If you’re going to pick a TE that has no hope in hell of making the team, why make the pick at all? The guy is a workout warrior who had no production in college to speak of. Wouldn’t this pick have been better used on a project DE or offensive lineman? Questionable…

Grade: F

It’s draft week and hence the Lions Congregation is a little light on content this week. Our members are busy with their sites bringing you the latest info and opinions on what the Lions are going to do. Nevertheless a few members of the congregation did their best to offer their opinions below. Enjoy!

1. After CJ, BJ and Ronald Curry, who do you think will be the final 2 receivers to make the team?

Steve, Detroit Lions Weblog: I believe that Will Franklin will likely make the roster. The other wideout, will be either a late round draft pick, an as yet unsigned free agent, or John Standeford, depending upon who wins the kickoff return competition or any unforeseen personnel battles that allow for give-and-take with the 53 man roster.

Don’t cut short the possibility of Adam Jennings making the roster due to his special teams value. He would have to prove both his value as a returner and that he could potentially help the team on offense.

Jeff, Motown Madmen: Will Franklin and John Standeford.
Franklin had a decent career at Missouri but didn’t get much action at Kansas City. I believe he’ll be great in the return game as well as vie for time in the slot position with Curry.
Standeford played reasonably well in his limited action with the Lions last season. I expect him to step up and possibly get a little more playing time.
No others on the roster are worth more than a spot on the practice squad.

Deacon Blades Boyd, CofS: William Franklin is a sure thing and it’ll be a battle between Travis Taylor, Standeford and Adam Jennings. If they don’t draft a WR, which I fully expect them to do, I think it’ll be a battle between Taylor and Jennings. Due to Jennings return ability, it’ll be a huge advantage for him.

Reverend Spielman, CofS: Will Franklin and Adam Jennings. I don’t think the Lions will draft a wideout this year due to the signings of Curry and Franklin. Jennings gets the nod over Standeford and Travis Taylor because of his special teams ability. The other two do not play well in that area, even though they may be better overall receivers.

2. How does the FB situation shape up with Bradley, Felton and Terrelle Smith?

Steve, Detroit Lions Weblog: I believe that Terrelle Smith will be the starter. Jerome Felton should serve as his backup. With the Lions using Scott Linehan’s offense, which has featured a lot of double tight end formations in the past, Felton would need to distinguish himself on special teams, or more of a longshot, prove that he could be versatile enough to be a short-yardage, goal line back, something the Lions do not currently have. He would serve a role analogous to the one Le’Ron McClain served in Baltimore last year.

Jon Bradley was a great story converting from defensive line to fullback a couple of years ago. At this point, without the presence of Marinelli’s staff, his chances of making the team are limited at best. If he could return to defense, bulk up, and serve as a run-plugger, maybe he’d have a remote shot of making the team.

Jeff, Motown Madmen: I really like Jerome Felton and believe he’ll be paving the way for Kevin Smith this season. He’s got size, speed, is smart and tough. Bradley (huge dude at 300 lbs) will be used mainly on the goal line and should do well in clearing a path up the middle. Smith will probably end up being cut.

Deacon Blades Boyd, CofS: I expect Bradley to be cut. Jerome Felton, if he makes even a little progress in the offseason, should be the starter going into the year. I like him a lot and I think he got a raw deal last year but we’ll have to wait and see.

Reverend Spielman, CofS: I think this is pretty clear cut. Smith is going to start and do the majority of the run blocking. I love Felton and he finally gives the Lions the short yardage back they haven’t had for decades, if ever. Bradley I think will be given the option to play defensive tackle again and if he doesn’t show enough, he’ll be cut before the season.

3. When all is said and done, who goes 1st overall?

Steve, Detroit Lions Weblog: I was all set to be cool with the fact that the Lions will be selecting Matthew Stafford first overall. Now that Jason Peters has been traded, and with several teams who need OT’s obstructing the Lions path to acquire one, (in order:2)St. Louis, 3)Kansas City, 4)Seattle, 5)Cleveland, 6)Cincinnati, 7)Oakland, 8)Jacksonville, 9)Green Bay, 10)San Francisco, 11)Buffalo, 13)Washington, pick #20, 21)Philadelphia, 26)Baltimore, 28)Buffalo) I have grown very uncomfortable with the decision to draft Stafford.

Obviously, not all of these teams will select OT’s, even with the depth at the position in the draft. With 5-6 first round graded players at the left tackle position, it will be difficult for the Lions to acquire an upgrade at the position, without sparing picks to trade up(something that they really can’t afford to do) and get one of these players.

With that in mind, I am hoping that the team will select either Jason Smith or Aaron Curry, because I am certain that rather than protect Matthew Stafford and prudently bench him for the duration of the ‘09 season, they will eventually decide to throw him to the wolves and put his future performance in jeopardy.

I am holding out an unreasonable hope that Redskins owner Dan Snyder will be so desperately enraptured with USC QB Mark Sanchez that the ‘Skins would be compelled to trade up, mortgaging future drafts in the process, to get the first overall pick, with the Lions making their first selection at pick #13.

Jeff, Motown Madmen: They’ll take Stafford but I still like Aaron Curry at 1-1. The Lions offense can put up points but their D can’t keep them off the board. They really need to get strong in the middle and up front and add a CB (Butler) or S (Delmas) as well. If they take Stafford, they’ll need to snag an OT at 1-20 (Oher, Beatty) and take a linebacker at 2-1 (Laurinaitis).

Deacon Blades Boyd, CofS: If I was Stafford I’d be THRILLED the Lions have a deal in place with Curry and basically say “thanks, but no thanks.” The guy will sign a deal similar to what Matt Ryan did last year where he signed for more then 1st overall pick Jake Long. When all is said and done, they will be stuck with Stafford but I’m keeping hope alive for Curry….KEEP HOPE ALIVE!!!

Reverend Spielman, CofS: Maybe I’m an idiot, but I still believe the Lions are desperately trying to trade this pick. Their only hope is that some team(hello Washington) wants Matt Stafford enough to trade up and get him. They know no team will trade up for Curry but maybe a team will for Stafford. If I’m Martin Mayhew, I offer Dan Snyder the 1st overall pick for the 13th overall, the Redskins 3rd round pick and Jason Campbell. I really think Snyder will take this and make the cap numbers work out later. Otherwise, if no trade is consumated, I think they take Aaron Curry and save the millions for free agency. I just can’t bring myself to see them taking Stafford with all the question marks surrounding him.

Here’s some additional draft day reading:

• The Wayne Fontes Experience has an interesting video showing the Lions draft room in Sheldon White’s office.
• Killer and Dave Birkett give their final mock drafts. Both have the Lions taking Stafford and Rey Maualuga with the first two picks.
• Seattle Lions Fan does some interesting analysis about Daunte Culpepper. I’m on board with his way of thinking.
• Finally, a little humor from The Sports Comedian about Mel Kiper’s pre draft routine.

Enjoy the draft and we’ll be back Sunday with some analysis of the first 3 rounds!

With the draft a mere few days away, here are some players I feel the Lions should target with later round picks (3rd round and on). I’m only focusing on D for this section because I honestly believe they should spend every single pick on D. (except one, take a OT or and OG somewhere)

*purposely left out players I feel will drafted in the first couple rounds*

DEFENSIVE ENDS

Paul Kruger-Utah- This guy is a straight up work horse who plays till the whistle. He’s an outstanding tackler and can drop into coverage if needed. Great talent and could easily be a solid starter at the next level. The knock on him is he’s “overly muscular” which I’ve never really understood how that’s a bad thing.

Larry English-Northern Illinois- 4 year starter who had 30.5 sacks in his last 3 years. 2 year team captain and has great intangibles. Oh yeah, and he played with a cast on his right hand for all but two games. HUGE upside. One main potential problem is he’s only 6′2.

Michael Johnson-Georgia Tech- This guys a beast in terms of size. At 6′7, if nothing else, he will be a force blocking kicks. But, he has an amazing burst of the edge and has a great pass rush. Only a one year starter and needs work on stopping the run but his size alone makes him a good pick.

Kyle Moore-USC- A “hot and cold” player. When he’s hot, he’s one of the best DE’s in the country. When he’s cold, one of the worst. Worth a late round pick due to his upside.

DEFENSIVE TACKLE

Ziggy Hood-Missouri- Shaun Rogers, only 50 pounds lighter and with a work ethic. This guy has one of the best swim moves I’ve ever seen and never gives up. Pretty good strength but needs to get much stronger if he hopes to get past double teams at the next level.

Corey Irvin-Georgia- Amazing athletic ability for a guy 6′3-300 pounds. Good first step and is a work horse who has great character. Has a lot of upside, but like most DT’s moving from college to the NFL, needs to get bigger and stronger.

John Gill-Northwestern- A pure run stopper. Has very little pass rushing skills but after watching the Lions the past few seasons, we need a run stopper. Gill is a pretty good athlete so with good coaching, he might be able to improve his pass rush but again, his run stopping ability is worth a selection. I really like this guy.

INSIDE LINEBACKER

Jason Phillips-TCU- Teddy Lehman only not injury prone and has a little more talent. (Keep in mind, Lehman lead the Lions and was top 15 in the NFL in tackles as a rookie before injuries) A pure and utter workhorse who loves the game. He’s a classic overachiever but he’s made it this far based on effort and there’s just something about him that could make him special

Scott McKillop-Pittsburgh- Has great instincts and has a knack for finding the ball. Outstanding at shedding blocks and a big time hitter. The guy had 151 tackles in 07 and 137 in 08. Need I say more?  LOVE THIS GUY.

Darry Beckworth-LSU- I didn’t even want to include this guy but he has “Lions Pick” all over him. A natural athlete who is quick and good in coverage. He has trouble finding the ball though and can be fooled by play action.

OUTSIDE LINEBACKER

Clay Matthews-USC- I know, I know, he’ll probably go in the first couple rounds. But if he somehow slips to the third, which I can see happening, I’d jump all over him. Only a one year starter but he literally leaves everything on the field when he plays.(see Ohio State game) He’ll do anything for the team.

DeAndre Levy-Wisconsin- I’ve watched this guy play live twice and straight up, is a football player. Love watching him run around the field just crushing people. That being said, he’s still a fairly raw player. He’s averaged five sacks the past three seasons and he could be a force at the next level if he continues growing.

CORNERBACKS

Coye Francies-San Jose State- Ridiculous speed. (runs a 4.3 40) Uses his hands really well and has a good jam off the line. Works hard, great character and overall, a really solid football player. One major concern is his thin frame. The guy is 6′0 feet all but only ways a buck eighty. Needs to bulk up. If he’s still around with our second pick in the 3rd round, I’d jump all over him.

Cary Harris-USC- Strictly a man to man cover guy which is what we need. Loves to hit but has suffered some ankle injuries last year. Will be a very good # 2 corner in the NFL.

Ryan Mouton-Hawaii- Very good ball skills and very solid tackler. He’s a good return man as well but he’s short and undersized. Has a Devin Hester look to him.

Brandon “Carrie” Underwood-Cincinnati-  Great combination of size and speed. (6-1, 4.45 40 time) Yet another man cover guy (see a trend here) who could see action as a safety. I like the guy and think he’s worth a pick in the 6th round if he’s there.

Bradly Fletcher-Iowa- Very athletic. Guy has a 40 inch vertical and is possibly one of the best tackles in the draft at the CB position. I watched him play in East-West Shrine game and he caught my eye early and I literally watched him the entire game. I PVR’d the game and watched it a few times after and the more I watched him, the more I liked him. I don’t understand why he is ranked as the 23rd best CB in the draft but he is my sleeper pick. A MUST PICK for the Lions.

SAFETY

Rashad Johnson-Alabama- Does a great job reading the field and doesn’t get caught by a quarterback looking off receivers. He’s a safety who made the calls for the defense and is a two time team captain. I’m a HUGE fan of this guy but if the Lions are going to get him, he’ll need to slip to the 3rd round. If he’s there, take him with the first pick of the 3rd round. He was a walk on player. For a walk on to become a two time captain, that says a lot.

Kevin Ellison-USC- God I hate USC but can you tell I watched a few of their games this year? The games I watched, he was all over the field and it literally seemed like he was in on every play. Reminded me of Troy Pal. Great instincts and could be a sleeper in the draft.

1. 18th Overall – Jeff Backus, T

Shoulda Had: Casey Hampton, Nate Clements, Will Allen, Reggie Wayne, Todd Heap, Alge Crumpler, Chad Ocho Cinco, Kris Jenkins

Verdict: Decent, not great.

Analysis: There were certainly many better picks than Backus but also a few worse. He’s not the problem in Detroit, but he’s not the solution either. He’s a mediocre left tackle who can hold his own against most defenders but can not compete with the upper echelon. Casey Hampton’s fat ass would’ve looked great for the last 8 years though.

2. 50th Overall – Dominic Raiola, C

Shoulda Had: Chris Chambers

Verdict: Pretty good pick.

Analysis: I like Raiola and I liked this pick. He’s not the biggest center in the league but he’s effective enough to warrant a starting position on most teams. With better talent around him, he’d look at heck of a lot better than he does when he’s flanked with Stephen Peterman and Manny Ramirez.

2. 61st Overall – Shaun Rogers, DT

Shoulda Had: Adrian Wilson, Steve Smith

Verdict: Great pick.

Analysis: The picture above is the only footage ever taken of Shaun Rogers running. If he would go for a jog occasionally, maybe he’d still be a Lion. As it stands, he’s probably the best draft pick this franchise made until Calvin Johnson came around.

5. 148th Overall – Scotty Anderson, WR

Shoulda Had: No one, as Lions owned the next pick.

Verdict: Blah.

Analysis: Anderson started a few games for the Lions during his few seasons in the NFL but he never could get separation and develop into a quality NFL receiver.

5. 149th Overall – Mike McMahon, QB

Shoulda Had: Cedric Wilson

Verdict: Even a bust in the CFL.

Analysis: Mike McMahon couldn’t play a lick in the NFL. It turns out he couldn’t even play a lick in the CFL either. He’s known as the only QB in NFL history that has happier feet than Joey Harrington.

6. 173rd Overall – Jason Glenn, LB

Shoulda Had: Jameel Cook, David Martin, Renaldo Hill, T.J. Houshmanzadeh, Kynan Forney, Eric Johnson, Marlon McCree

Verdict: Bust as a Lion.

Analysis: Glenn ended up having a decent career in the NFL, retiring before last season. However, he never played a game for the Lions so this has to qualify as a bust.

1. 3rd Overall – Joey Harrington, QB

Shoulda Had: Bryant McKinnie, Dwight Freeney, Albert Haynesworth, Ed Reed

Avoided: No one. Harrington was the worst pick possible here.

Verdict: Capital F Minus.

Analysis: What more can be said about Piano Boy Joe that hasn’t already been said? He’s the bust that started the Lions descent into hilarity. There were a lot of busts in the first round of the 2002 draft but Joey tops them all. At least he’s still got his beloved piano career though.

2. 35th Overall – Kalimba Edwards, DE

Shoulda Had: Chester Pitts, Clinton Portis, Sheldon Brown, Deion Branch, Antwaan Randle-El

Verdict: Perennially a potential bust.

Analysis: Kalimba Edwards came out of South Carolina with loads of potential. 8 years into his career, he still hasn’t come remotely close to filling that potential. The only reason I’m not harder on Millen for this pick is because of the sheer number of busts there were in the 2002 early rounds.

3. 68th Overall – Andre Goodman, CB

Shoulda Had: Will Witherspoon, Brian Westbrook, Chris Hope, Alex Brown, David Thornton, Brian Williams, Randy McMichael, Jarvis Green

Verdict: Bust as a Lion.

Analysis: Goodman did absolutely nothing except get burned during his years as a Lion. As soon as he was released, he signed with the Miami Dolphins and has been a pretty effective CB for them the last couple seasons. Not a bad pick, but it just didn’t work out with the brutal Lions coaching staff.

4. 134th Overall – John Taylor, DE

Shoulda Had: Najeh Davenport

Verdict: So bad, he doesn’t even have a picture on the Internet.

Analysis: I’ll assume Matt Millen actually drafted a deceased guy in the 4th round. In that case, it’s only his 4th worst pick of this draft.

5. 138th Overall – John Owens, TE

Shoulda Had: Andra Davis, Scott Fujita, Rocky Bernard, Aaron Kampman, Jermaine Phillips

Verdict: Decent, we’ll take it.

Analysis: Probably the best pick of this entire draft for Millen. This guy was actually our starter for 7 games last season. That’s not saying much when he’s competing against the immortal Michael Gaines and the noble Casey Fitzsimmons but its still decent enough for a 5th round pick. I’ll ignore the fact that he did nothing with the first 6 years of his NFL career.

6. 175th Overall – Chris Cash, CB

Shoulda Had: Justin Hartwig, Chester Taylor

Verdict: Good pick.

Analysis: Chris Cash was a quality late round pick for the Lions, although he wasn’t given a fair shot after his rookie contract expired. He muddled around with the Falcons for a few years but that was about it for his career.

7. 214th Overall – Luke Staley, RB

Shoulda Had: Ronald Curry, Raheem Brock, Eric Heitmann, Brett Keisel, Kevin Shaffer, Kyle Kosier

Verdict: The usual bust.

Analysis: Staley barely got into a practice, let alone a game. Nice life.

7. 259th Overall – Victor Rogers, G

Shoulda Had: An extra roster spot.

Verdict: One of the best practice squad players drafted in the 7th round by the Detroit Lions in 2002.

Analysis: This is probably the only time someone other than Victor Rogers mother has written about him. And thats all I have to say.

1. 2nd Overall – Charles Rogers, WR

Shoulda Had: Andre Johnson, Terrence Newman, Jordon Gross, Kevin Williams, Terrell Suggs, Troy Polamalu, Nnamdi Asomugha

Avoided: Not a soul on the planet.

Verdict: One of the biggest busts in NFL history.

Analysis: What more is there to say about Charlie McSmoky? No man in NFL history has smoked away such outrageous physical tools. This was the ultimate feel good story when he was drafted. It was supposed to be the good Michigan State boy arriving to save the horrific franchise with one playoff victory in forty years. We all know how the story actually played out.

2. 34th Overall – Boss Bailey, LB

Shoulda Had: Charles Tillman, Rashean Mathis, Ken Hamlin, Chris Kelsay, Anquan Boldin, Osi Umeniyora

Verdict: Injury riddled bust.

Analysis: I liked this pick when it was made, only because I knew Boss’s brother, Champ, was one of the best players in the NFL. Boss hasn’t been able to get off the trainer’s table in his career however. When he has been healthy though, he’s been nothing special. Most of the players taken behind him have turned out better, as is the story with nearly every Millen pick.

3. 66th Overall – Cory Redding, DT

Shoulda Had: Lance Briggs, Jason Witten, Derrick Dockery, Kevin Curtis, Angelo Crowell

Verdict: Not too shabby.

Analysis: I’d love Redding if it wasn’t for his massive contract. The guy has a ton of heart which will allow him to be a very good player if he has equal talent beside him. Langston Moore is not an equal talent. He’s currently playing out of position, being asked to occupy double teams instead of using his quickness to get interior penetration. Redding’s going to be a good player if the Lions can ever get another decent tackle.

4. 99th Overall – Artuse Pinner, RB

Shoulda Had: Bradie James, Terrence McGee, Shaun McDonald, Asante Samuel, Brandon Lloyd, Ike Taylor

Verdict: Total bust.

Analysis: Pinner’s only good game in his career came against the Lions while he was a member of the Vikings. He scorched the defense for 125 yards in that game, something he never even came close to duplicating. Any of the fine cornerbacks above would’ve looked outstanding in Honolulu Blue.

5. 137nd Overall – Terrence Holt, S

Shoulda Had: Robert Mathis, Bobby Wade, Justin Gage

Verdict: Pretty good pick.

Analysis: I can’t hate on Millen for snagging Torry’s brother in the 5th round. Sure, he’s never been a star but at this point in the draft, you’re just looking for serviceable backups and thats exactly what Holt is. Together with Boss Bailey, you could tell Millen was just looking for guys that had NFL bloodlines in this draft.

5. 144th Overall – James Davis, LB

Shoulda Had: Mike Scifres, Donald Lee, David Diehl, Dan Koppen, Hunter Hillenmeyer, Tony Pashos

Verdict: Mediocre at best.

Analysis: I’m not exactly sure what happened to Davis. He had a decent enough 2nd season and started for the Lions in his 3rd season and hasn’t been heard from since. He could’ve been a good backup, as is the story for most Lions draft picks, but no team has ever signed him. Not terrible value for a 5th rounder however.

6. 175th Overall – David Kircus, WR

Shoulda Had: Reggie Wells, Jimmy Wilkerson, Arnaz Battle, Cato June, Yeremiah Bell

Verdict: Drunken bust.

Analysis: David “The Circus” Kircus was a fan favourite during his few seasons in Detroit. Whether it was bench warming or getting Charley Rogers dope, he excelled at whatever he was called upon to do. He’s currently known as the skinniest man ever arrested for assault. I feel really sorry for the other guy.

7. 216th Overall – Ben Johnson, T

7. 220th Overall – Blue Adams, CB

7. 236th Overall – Brandon Drumm, ???

7. 260th Overall – Travis Anglin, ???

Shoulda Had: Tully Banta-Cain, Kevin Walter

Verdict: Zero games played for the Detroit Lions combined.

Analysis: Only Blue Adams actually played a game in the NFL and it certainly wasn’t for the Lions. You’d think with 4 7th round picks, maybe one would stick? Apparently, thats far too optimistic.

1. 7th Overall – Roy Williams, WR

Shoulda Had: Ben Roethlisberger, Tommie Harris, Vince Wilfork, Steven Jackson

Avoided: Reggie Williams

Verdict: Decent but not great.

Analysis: Roy Williams’ biggest contribution to the Detroit Lions during his tenure is the three draft picks he brought back when he was traded to Dallas. He’s the most overrated receiver the NFL has seen in many years. His hands are average at best and he does not separate from corners. His only above average talent is being able to absorb vicious hits. There were plenty of better players available when Millen made this pick but at least it is the rare Millen pick that has brought us something in return.

1. 30th Overall – Kevin Jones, RB

Shoulda Had: Karlos Dansby, Chris Snee

Verdict: A good pick at the time whose been decimated by injuries.

Analysis: I loved this pick when it was made and it looked great for the first year. However Jones has had nothing but injury troubles since, leading to his release before last season. I don’t think he’ll ever be an effective back in the league again.

2. 37th Overall – Teddy Lehman, LB

Shoulda Had: Bob Sanders, Madieu Williams, Sean Jones, Darnell Dockett, Nick Hardwick

Verdict: Complete and total bust.

Analysis: Coming out of college, Lehman’s big knock was his fragility. This has proven to be a very worthy knock. This guy gets a severe injury every time he wakes up in the morning. He’s going to max out as a fill-in special teamer, so long as he stays off the trainers table.

3. 73rd Overall – Keith Smith, CB

Shoulda Had: Bernard Berrian, Chris Cooley, Matt Schaub, Travelle Wharton, Shaun Phillips, Jerricho Cotchery, Nathan Vasher, Jared Allen, Gibril Wilson

Verdict: Awful bust.

Analysis: Many of the best players in this entire draft were drafted in the 3rd and 4th rounds. Keith Smith certainly wasn’t one of them. Any of the above men, above with several others who I didn’t list, would’ve done much more for the Lions than this pylon. I’ve never seen a man take more chances and be unsuccessful so often. Its a wonder he’s still in the NFL.

5. 140th Overall – Alex Lewis, LB

Shoulda Had: Jake Scott, Erik Coleman, Michael Turner

Verdict: Not bad, not great.

Analysis: Compared to where he was drafted, Lewis is one of the best picks the Lions made in this draft. He’s a quality reserve who can fill in when needed. A better player than 100 guys drafted before him.

6. 172nd Overall – Kelly Butler, T

Shoulda Had: Rex Hadnot, Corey Williams, Patrick Crayton, Jacques Reeves, Derrick Ward, Bobby McCray, Scott Wells

Verdict: Decent, could’ve been better.

Analysis: I must admit, I really thought Butler looked like a player coming out of Purdue. I was thrilled when Millen took him and instantly proclaimed that we’d found our RT for the next 10 years. Turns out he played 2 NFL seasons and never saw the field again. Still, thats not bad for a 7th rounder, so I’ll give Matty the benefit of the doubt here.

1. 10th Overall – Mike Williams, WR

Shoulda Had: DeMarcus Ware, Shawne Merriman, Jammal Brown, Thomas Davis, Anyone else on the face of the earth

Avoided: No one. We got the worst pick imaginable.

Verdict: A bust the likes of which the NFL has rarely seen before.

Analysis: What more can you say about this immature tub of lard? He epitomizes the Lions franchise during the Matt Millen tenure. A colossal bust, taken purely on potential in a position we had no need for at the time. He has more fumbles than TDs in his career. Very few NFL players can say that.

2. 37th Overall – Shaun Cody, DT

Shoulda Had: Michael Roos, Lofa Tatupu, Nick Collins, Kelvin Hayden, Vincent Jackson, Frank Gore, Channing Crowder

Verdict: What else but a bust, albeit a moderate one.

Analysis: You would think that between two picks in the first 37 picks, you’d at least get one football player. The Lions might have gotten half of one in Cody, who can fit into a defensive tackle rotation. That’s about all I see him being good for going forward.

3. 72nd Overall – Stanley Wilson, CB

Shoulda Had: Justin Tuck, Krik Morrison, Ellis Hobbs, Nick Kaczur, Kyle Orton, Marion Barber, Brandon Jacobs, David Stewart, Darren Sproles, Chris Canty

Verdict: Mammoth bust.

Analysis: Stanley Wilson was a track star at Stanford. He didn’t really know what football was. Still, Matt Millen felt the need to draft him and above and beyond that, he took him in the third round! Absolutely bogus, especially when you see some of the names taken after him. This pick confirms the fact that this draft was one of the worst of any team in history.

5. 145th Overall – Dan Orlovsky, QB

Shoulda Had: Trent Cole, Gerald Sensabaugh, Michael Boley, Chris Harris, Bo Scaife

Verdict: Not bad, about what you can expect.

Analysis: DanO has turned out to be a decent enough pick and easily the best pick of this draft for the Lions. However, its really saying something when the best pick in the draft has never started a game where the Lions have won.

6. 184th Overall – Bill Swancutt, DE

Shoulda Had: C.C. Brown, Chris Myers, Chris Kemoeatu

Verdict: Bust.

Analysis: Bill had all the heart in the world. Unfortunately he had the talent of a 12 year old boy playing Pop Warner. As a result, he nearly cracked the Detroit Lions starting lineup before being cut.

6. 206th Overall – Jonathan Goddard, LB

Shoulda Had: Derek Anderson, Reynaldo Hill, Jay Ratliff, Matt Cassel, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Madison Hedgecock

Verdict: One of the top two Lions draft picks from the 6th round in 2005.

Analysis: Goddard made one tackle in his NFL career. Which makes him a thousand times the player Bill Swancutt ever was.